February 28, 2017
On this week’s DailyRoto Fantasy Golf Podcast, Leone, Pacheco, and Drewby discuss the WGC Mexico Championship played in Mexico City at very high altitude. It’s a 70 man field, no cut event featuring a plethora of the world’s top golfers. The combination of a loaded field and no cut event makes the edge a bit tougher to realize in cash games, and the guys talk about how to approach bankroll management this week.
We’ve got four golfers up top in Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy and Henrik Stenson that do separate themselves from the field. Recent form edge goes to Johnson and Spieth, but Stenson’s price tag and skill set leaves him as the best value of the bunch. Pacheco is certainly on the Stenson bandwagon.
After talking about their preferences up top, the guys wade through their favorite DraftKings value plays on a week where it’s difficult to differentiate between so many strong golfers. A big part of this conversation is weighing the importance of recent form, and recent tee to green stats lead Leone to Sergio Garcia, Adam Scott, and Paul Casey as potentially lower owned plays with high upside. Meanwhile Drewby will take a slightly more studs and duds approach, trying to maximize his odds of getting a top five performance up top while focusing on DraftKings scoring down low with guys like Bubba Watson and JB Holmes, who have the ability to finish with as many DraftKings points as more expensive golfers even if they place 10 spots higher.
The show rounds out with a discussion of some betting and One and Done advice. Betting T-20 results on some Euro players like Rafael Cabrera-Bello and Martin Kaymer appears to be a positive expected value move. In One and Done circles, strategy is going to depend on scoring format (Prize Money or FedEx Points).
02:54 WGC Mexico Championship Course Talk (Altitude)
10:07 Bankroll Management and GPPs versus Cash Games
15:32 DraftKings Value Plays
44:00 Betting Advice and One and Done Strategy
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